FDI对我国内资制造业自主创新能力的影响——基于时间变化的动态效应的研究

The Impact of FDI on Independent Innovation Capability of Chinese Domestic- funded Manufacturing Industries——Empirical Analysis Based on the Dynamic Effects of Time- varying

通过对2009～2012年我国27个制造业行业面板数据的回归分析，实证检验了FDI对我国内资制造业自主创新能力的影响，并且还考虑到了时间变化的动态效应，通过分别对2009-2010年、2011～2012年相关数据的实证分析，试得出随着时间的推移，FDI对我国内资制造业的自主创新能力的影响有何变化。研究结果表明：FDI对我国内资制造业的自主创新能力具有显著的正向促进作用，但近年来这种正向促进作用有所减弱；研发经费对我国内资制造业自主创新能力的贡献率大大提高，由显著的抑制作用变为显著的促进作用；研发人员对我国内资制造业自主创新能力的贡献率有所降低，由明显的促进作用变为不明显的抑制作用。在此实证结果的基础上，分析了原因并提出了相对应的政策建议。

Through the regression of the panel data of 27 manufacturing industries in our country from 2009 to 2012, this paper esti- mates the impact of FDI on the independent innovation capability of Chinese domestic - funded manufacturing industries, and also takes into account the dynamic effects of time - varying, through respectively related data from 2009 to 2010 and from 2011 to 2012, try to test re- suits over time, how the impact of FDI on the independent innovation capability of Chinese domestic - ftmded manufacturing industries is changing. The findings of this study show that： FDI promotes the independent innovation capability of Chinese domestic - funded manufac- turing industries obviously, but this promotion has been weakened in recent years; the effect of R＆D funds on the independent innovation capability of Chinese domestic- funded manufacturing industries changed from obviously negative to obviously positive, which shows that the contribution rate of R＆D funds to the independent innovation capability of Chinese domestic - funded manufacturing industries has great- ly improved; the effect of R＆D personnel on the independent innovation capability of Chinese domestic - funded manufacturing industries changed from obviously positive to not significantly negative, which shows that the contribution rate of R＆D personnel to the independent in- novation capability of Chinese domestic- funded manufacturing industries has greatly dropped. Based on the results of this study, this pa- per analyzes the causes and puts forward relevant policies.