榆林市能源资源开发与经济增长的实证研究

Empirical Study on Energy Resource Exploitation and Economic Growth about Yulin City

选取新型资源城市、国家级能源化工基地榆林市1995—2013年的统计数据,运用统计计量方法,就资源富集区榆林市主要能源资源开发与经济增长的数量关系与运行状况进行定量研究与评价分析.研究认为:榆林市主要能源煤炭和石油开发与经济增长之间具有长期均衡的协整关系且互为因果;主要能源资源中,煤炭资源开发利用对经济增长贡献显著.此外,煤炭资源和石油资源开发之间亦双向因果,相互影响和共同促进,但煤炭和石油资源开发较初级粗放,就地转化利用的质量和效益不高.最后,根据研究结论,给出相关对策建议.

Based on the data of the Yulin City of the National Base about Energy and Chemical Industry from 1995 to 2013,econometric theories and methods are used to study the numerical relationship and running situations on main energy resources exploitation and economic growth. The findings reveal that there exists a long run equilibrium and co-integration relationship between main energy resources exploitation and economic growth ,and there is a two-way causal relationship between them. The coal resources has a significant contribution to economic growth among main energy resources. There also exists two-way causal relationship between coal and petroleum exploitation. They affect and promote each other. Whereas,due to the extensive and primary exploitation,the quality and economic efficiency of transformation and utilization of main energy resources is low in Yulin. Accordingly some relevant counter measures and suggestions are provided to resolve it.