摘要
南亚果实蝇是我国进境植物检疫性害虫,严重危害南瓜等瓜类果蔬。本研究在收集、分析国内外相关资料的基础上,建立了南亚果实蝇对我国南瓜产业的潜在经济损失评估模型,并采用@RISK软件和随机模拟的方法,从直接经济损失、间接经济损失和防治费用3个方面进行了评估。评估结果显示,南亚果实蝇对我国南瓜产业的潜在经济损失总值在3 741.50~2 315 783.08万元之间。
Bactrocera tau is a quarantine pest in China, seriously affect the yield and quality of cucurbitaceous plants and fleshy fruits, like pumpkin. In this study, we looked at some article and used their economic loss assessment model as a useful reference, then combine them with the @RISK software, from the direct economic losses, the indirect economic losses and the cost of prevention and control to do the assessment of the economic losses caused by Bactrocera tau in China. The results show that total economic losses was estimated to be from 37.42-23 157.83 million Yuan.
出处
《植物检疫》
北大核心
2015年第3期28-33,共6页
Plant Quarantine
基金
农业部“引进国际先进农业科学技术”项目(2012-Z15)
