期刊文献+

未来极端降水预估研究进展 被引量:3

Progress on Prediction of Future Extreme Precipitation
下载PDF
导出
摘要 全球气候变暖各地极端气候事件频发,自然环境和人类生产生活受到重大影响,极端气候事件的变化发展及未来预估工作亟需开展,尤其是极端降水的变化与生活生产更是密切相关。该文在全球变暖大背景下基于未来各种排放情景,对极端降水的定义、预报方法以及演变趋势的研究成果进行归纳总结,以为后续研究提供参考。 With global warming and the development of extreme weather events,natural environment and human life have been significantly affected,changes of extreme events and future projections must be carry out,especially the changes in extreme precipitation,which is closely related to the life and production.With the future various emission scenarios presented in this paper is a summarization of definltion,prediction,and evolution of extreme precipitation,to provide references for subsequent research.
出处 《科技创新导报》 2015年第7期20-23,共4页 Science and Technology Innovation Herald
关键词 极端降水 预报 全球变暖 气候模型 极端化 Extreme Precipitation Prediction Global Warming Climate Models Extreme
  • 引文网络
  • 相关文献

参考文献39

  • 1Bernstein L,Bosch P, Canziani O,et al.Climate change 2007: synthesis report. Summary for policymakers[M]. IPCC, 2007.
  • 2Beniston M,Stephenson D B. Extreme climatic events and their evolution under changing climatic conditions[J].Glohal and Planetary Change,2004,44(1/4): 1-9.
  • 3Zongxing L,He Y,Wang P, et al. Changes of daily climate extremes in southwestern China during 1961 2008[J].Global and Planetary Change,2012,80.255- 272.
  • 4谌芸,孙军,徐珺,杨舒楠,宗志平,陈涛,方翀,盛杰.北京721特大暴雨极端性分析及思考(一)观测分析及思考[J].气象,2012,38(10):1255-1266. 被引量:273
  • 5Easterling D R,Evans J L, Groisman P Y,et al. Observed Variability and Trends in Extreme Climate Events.A Brief Review*[J].Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2000,81(3):417-425.
  • 6Easterling D R,Meehl G A, Parmesan C,et al. Climate extremes : observations, modeling, and impacts[J].science,2000, 289 (5487) . 2068-2074.
  • 7Beniston M,Stephenson D B,Christensen O B,et al. Future extreme events in European climate:an exploration of regional climate model projections[J]. Climatic Change, 2007,81(S1)~71-95.
  • 8翟盘茂,任福民,张强.中国降水极值变化趋势检测[J].气象学报,1999,57(2):208-216. 被引量:455
  • 9丁裕国.探讨灾害规律的理论基础—极端气候事件概率[J].气象与减灾研究,2006,29(1):44-50. 被引量:52
  • 10胡宜昌,董文杰,何勇.21世纪初极端天气气候事件研究进展[J].地球科学进展,2007,22(10):1066-1075. 被引量:183

二级参考文献187

共引文献2071

同被引文献42

引证文献3

二级引证文献24

;
使用帮助 返回顶部