摘要
在定性分析房价对居民消费影响机制的基础上,利用2002年-2010年城镇居民人均消费支出、人均可支配收入、商品房销售价格、以及一年期存款利率的季度数据,对消费函数进行协整回归,得出我国房地产价格对居民消费存在显著的替代效应,并对可能产生该结论的原因进行分析,最后从增加公租房供给、提高金融领域投资收益等方面给出当前房价调控和通胀管理的政策建议.
On the basis of qualitative analysis the mechanism of real-estate price influence on residents consumption, this paper uses the seasonal data of consumption, income ,house prices and one-year deposit interest rates from 2002 to 2010, to estimate the consumption function including house prices factor by the method of cointegration regression, concluding that China＇s real estate price exist significantly substitution effect on consumption, and analyze the possible causes of this conclusion. Finally the house-market regulation and the inflation management policy suggestions are offered.
出处
《数学的实践与认识》
北大核心
2015年第11期1-5,共5页
Mathematics in Practice and Theory
基金
2015年度河南省教育厅人文社会科学研究一般项目(2015-QN-021)
安阳师范学院大学生创新基金项目(ASCX/2014-Z166)
关键词
房价
居民消费
财富效应
替代效应
协整分析
real-estate price
resident consumption
wealth effect
substitution effect
coin-tegration analysis
