摘要
基于环境库兹涅茨曲线分析框架,本文采用动态空间杜宾面板模型,分析环渤海经济圈产业结构高级化、合理化对烟(粉)尘和SO2两种大气污染物排放的影响。研究发现:各省份两种大气污染物排放存在显著空间相关性,产业结构高级化可以实现烟(粉)尘和SO2减排,但会增加其邻近省份的排放;产业结构合理化只能促进烟(粉)尘减排,并未产生显著空间溢出;烟(粉)尘排放与经济增长符合EKC假说,而SO2排放与经济增长呈U型曲线关系;大气污染治理投资能促进本省及其邻近省份的烟(粉)尘减排,而对SO2排放没有显著影响。因此,推进产业结构高级化和合理化是解决大气污染的有效途径,而如何实现区域内联防联控、如何避免"搭便车"、如何避免"污染转移"的产业结构调整是解决大气污染的关键。
Based on the environmental Kuznets curve, adopting dynamic spatial Durbin panel model, this paper analyzes the effects of rationalization and advancement of industrial structure on Bohai Rim Region＇s Soot （dust） and SO2 emis- sions. The results show that： there exits significant spatial dependence among each province＇s air pollution, and ad- vancement of industrial structure can promote the reduction of Soot （dust） and SO2 emissions in own province, while in- creasing emissions of neighboring provinces; rationalization of industrial structure can promote the Soot （ dust ） emis- sions, but it doesn＇t produce significant spatial spillover effects; the relationship between Soot （dust） and economic growth is consistent with the hypothesis of EKC, while it presents U - shape curve on SO2 ; antipollution investment in air will reduce the emissions of Soot （dust） in own province and neighboring provinces, while there＇s no significant influ- ence on SO2 emissions. So advancing the rationalization and advancement of industrial structure are effective ways to re- ducing air pollution, while how to realize regional linkage mechanism, how to avoid free rider, how to avoid the adjust- ment of industrial structure at the cost of pollution diversion are key problems to solve air pollution.
出处
《商业研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第6期30-35,共6页
Commercial Research
基金
国家自然科学基金项目
项目编号:7130100
