公共领域冲突控制与化解的耦合对治理方式与效果间关系的影响研究

The Impact of Coupling of Conflict Containment and Resolution between Management Methods and Effect in Public Domain

冲突控制与冲突化解是公共领域冲突治理过程中的两种重要方式,二者的耦合状况会影响它们的治理效果。运用结构方程模型,对所收集的235起公共冲突案例进行分析和建模,探索各变量间的相关关系。研究结果发现:冲突控制作用于治理实践时所产生的即时效果是不确定的,同时对长期效果存在负向影响;冲突化解正向治理的即时效果与长期效果;耦合程度能够弱化控制与长期效果间的负相关关系,强化化解与即时效果间的正相关关系,这表明控制与化解通过良好耦合可以改善治理效果。

The conflict containment and resolution are two important methods in public conflict management .The coupling of them will influence the management effect .The 235 public conflict cases have been analyzed and modeled with the method of structural equation model .The result indicated when the conflict containment acts on the governance practice ,the result is uncertain ,and it is negatively related to the long‐term effects of conflict management ;the conflict resolution is positively related to the short‐term and long‐term effects ;the coupling of two weakens the negative relationship between the conflict containment and long‐term effects ,strengthens the positive relationship between the conflict resolution and short‐term effects ,this shows that the good coupling will improve the management effects .