国际侨汇对收款国宏观经济安全的影响分析

The Impact of International Remittances on the Macro-economic Security of Recipient Countries in the 21^(st) Century

论文在简要阐述了国际侨汇发展概况的基础上,着重围绕侨汇对宏观经济稳定、侨汇对国家信用评级的影响、侨汇对宏观经济安全的潜在威胁等方面,论述国际侨汇对收款国宏观经济安全的影响。认为侨汇具有保护和加强国家宏观经济安全的作用,主要表现为:缓解收款国的外汇约束、提升国家信用;构成其GDP的重要部分,增强其国家经济总体实力;在收款国遇到经济危机、自然灾害以及军事冲突时,扮演经济安全"保险者"的角色,等等。同时,侨汇大量流入也可能会给相关国家的经济安全带来潜在的威胁。因此,在关注侨汇积极作用的同时,还应加大对其负面影响的研究,以积极防范由侨汇流动带来的潜在安全威胁。

Through a brief survey of the study on international remittances, this paper argues that international remittances helps to protect and enhance the recipient countries＇ macro - economic security through an analysis of their impact on economic stability, national credit rating and economic security. The positive impact of remittances on recipient countries includes lifting the restrictions against capital flows, increasing national credit, enhancing economic performances in terms of GDP growth, insuring economic security when the recipient countries encounter economic crises, natural disasters or military conflicts. At the same time, a bigamount of remittances countries. Therefore, to its positive one. might become a potential threat to the economic security for recipient we should pay attention to the negative impact of remittances in addition