河北省固定资产投资与经济增长关系研究——基于协整与因果关系的分析

Study on the Relationship between the Fixed Assets Investment and Economic Growth in Hebei Province

基于1980年至2013年河北省地区生产总值和固定资产投资数据的研究表明,河北省的经济增长与固定资产投资之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系。并且,河北省固定资产投资是经济增长的格兰杰原因,而经济增长不是固定资产投资的格兰杰原因。固定资产投资对经济增长的影响是滞后的而不是当期就有很大的影响,这与我国现实相吻合。

Based on the study of GDP and fixed invest- ments data from 1980 to 2013, the research shows that eco- nomic growth and fixed asset investment in HeBei province have a long-term stable equilibrium relationship. And, the investment in fixed assets is a Granger cause of economic growth , but economic growth is not the Granger cause of the investment in fixed assets. The Impact of Investment has lagging rather than current impact in fixed assets, which is consistent with our reality.