摘要
运用系统动力学方法分析上海市未来综合生活用水量各变量之间的复杂关系,构建上海市未来综合生活用水需求量的系统动力学模型,预测上海市未来综合生活用水量的变化态势,进一步探讨水资源调控的关键环节和措施。这些预测和探讨旨在帮助提高上海市水资源可持续利用的规划和管理水平,也为中国其他发达城市或快速城市化地区的水资源规划和管理提供借鉴。
The author of this paper applied the system dynamics method to analyze the complex relationship among all variables of comprehensive domestic water consumption in the future of Shanghai City.A system dynamics model of prediction for the comprehensive domestic water demand in the future of Shanghai City was set up to predict the change trend of the comprehensive domestic water consumption in the future of Shanghai City and probe the critical link and measures of water resources regulation.The purpose of this paper is to help improve the planning and management level of water resources sustainable utilization in Shanghai City, as well as providing references for the water resources planning and management of the developed cities or rapid urbanization area in China.
出处
《水资源保护》
CAS
CSCD
2015年第3期103-107,共5页
Water Resources Protection
基金
教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(11JZD024)
关键词
综合生活用水量
系统动力学模型
需水量预测
节水对策
上海市
comprehensive domestic water consumption
system dynamics model
water demand prediction
water-saving strategies
Shanghai City
