温棚番茄的旅游观光期预测研究

Prediction on Greenhouse Tomatoes Tourism Period

在2012年4-8月份间观测(番茄开始开花—果实采摘)的整个发育期,并且通过对温棚番茄开花—果实采摘发育期的观测和同期温棚内外的气温、地温、湿度条件的观测统计分析得出:青海西宁地区番茄生长期温棚内外的气温、地温、湿度变化特征效应显著,其相关性R=0.71-0.98;番茄温棚采摘观光旅游期预测模型是用温棚外的气象预报值建立,此预测模型在实际工作中即好用又方便,其预测期与实际出现期基本一致,通过F0.01信度检验,具有一定的实际使用价值。为青海省设施农业的观光旅游提供科学的参考依据。

April to August in 2012 observation （tomatoes begin to bloom-fruit picking） throughout the de- velopment period, and through the greenhouse tomato blossom-observation fruit picking and development of air temperature, Ground temperature and humidity conditions of observation and the same period in the greenhouse and outside the statistical analysis results; Xining region temperatures inside and outside the greenhouse tomato growing season, temperature, humidity variation effect is remarkable, which correlation R = 0. 71 - 0. 98 ; greenhouse picking tomatoes tourism forecasting model is built with the weather forecast the value of the greenhouse, and this prediction model in the actual work that is easy to use and convenient, the forecast period is consistent with the actual appearance of by F0. 01 reliability test, it has some practical value, provide scientific basis for Qinghai agricultural tourism facilities.