云南产业结构变迁与经济增长、城市化互动的实证——基于多维动态的VAR模型

Interactive Study of Evolution of Industrial structure and Economic Growth and Urbanization in Yunnan Based on VAR Model

相较于东部沿海省份,处于区位劣势的云南省,在经济系统内部存在低水平的动态均衡,通过建立VAR多维动态模型,实证检验经济系统内部的产业结构、经济增长、城市化水平之间如何通过交互作用和自我强化机制使经济系统处于均衡状态,同时指出产业是经济增长和城市化发展的内驱动力,要实现云南整体经济又快又好发展,应着力推动云南省产业结构的转型升级.

Compared with the eastern coastal provinces, Yunnan economic development is disadvantaged be- cause of its disadvantageous location. The VAR model shows the interaction among the industrial structure and economic growth and urbanization and the rapid and sound development of Yunnan economy can be a- thieved through the transformation and upgrading