城市与会展业发展规律的量化研究——以北上广为例

A Quantitative Analysis of Urban and Exhibition Industry Development: A Case Study of Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou

会展业作为新兴的朝阳产业,能有效带动当地经济与社会的发展,成为许多城市关注的重点。本文以全国会展规模前三甲——北京、上海、广州2012—2014年数据为例,进行城市与会展业发展研究。结果显示,受城市市场开放程度和经济发展速度的影响,上海成为我国会展业的领头羊;北京发展较平稳,无明显优势;广州会展业发展迅速,需加强会展业的组织与管理工作。第二产业和对外贸易状况对会展业有显著促进作用,交通运输状况和行业管理对会展业的支持作用最为显著,各城市应充分利用优势产业提高展会影响力。

As a new sunrise industry, exhibition industry promotes the development of lo- cal economy and society and is the focus of attention for many cities. This paper explores the relationship of urban development and MICE industry with the data of the country＇s top three convention cities -- Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou -- from 2012 to 2014 .The results show that Shanghai has become a leader in China＇s exhibition industry with a steady intake affected the degree of urban market openness and the growth of economic; Beijing develops more gently without obvious advantage; Guangzhou develops rapidly which needs to strengthen the organi- zation and management of the exhibition industry. Secondary industry and foreign trade has a significant role in promoting the exhibition industry, with the effect of transport conditions and industry management being the significant. These cities should take advantage of the industry to improve the influenee of exhibitions.