中国财政收入影响因素的统计分析

Statistical analysis of influential factors on China's fiscal revenue

财政收入的增长关系着一个国家经济的发展和社会的进步。本文运用多元统计分析方法对影响中国财政收入的多种因素进行了因子分析和相关性分析,确定了影响中国财政收入的两个主要因子:经济上升因子和物价指数因子。同时对中国目前已经出现的经济增长与人口自然增长率较强负相关的现象进行了分析,对中国进一步增加财政收入给出了思考与建议。

The growth of fiscal revenue exerts influence on a nation′s economic development and so-cial progress .Through the multivariate statistical analysis methods ,a variety of factors that affect Chi-na′s fiscal revenue were used for the factor analysis and correlation analysis .Two main factors are i-dentified as the factor of economic growth and the factor of price index .Meanwhile t,his paper reveals that economic growth and natural population growth rate are negatively correlated .Thoughts and sug-gestions on how to further increase China′s fiscal revenue are also presented .