污染产业转移、区域环境损害与管控政策设计

Polluted Industries Transfer,Regional Environmental Damage and Management Policy Design

运用数学建模和计量分析方法,利用2003—2012年中国31个省份的面板数据,研究了污染产业区际转移与环境损害地区差异变化及其影响因素。结果表明,污染产业呈现从东部沿海地区向中西部地区分散转移的时空演变特征,污染产业转移对环境损害具有正向影响,但不同地区环境相对损害状况存在显著差异,不同因素对环境损害的影响程度和作用方向不同,这为探讨中西部地区"承接产业转移但不承担沉重环境损害代价"的可行路径及管控政策提供了理论依据。

This paper use the 2003-2012 panel data of 31 provinces in China, study the change of area differences and influencing factors of interregional pollution industries transfer and environmental damage, in the way of mathematical model and regression analysis methods. The results show that, the pollution industry has shown time-space evolution characteristics that split-up transfer from the eastern coastal areas to central and western regions, pollution industry transfer has a positive influence on environmental damage, but there are significant differences in environment relative damage conditions in different areas, different factors have different influence degree and action direction on environmental damage, this provides a theoretical basis for central and western regions to explore the management policy and the feasible t^ath that ＂the industrv acceotance without bearin~ the heavy environmental damage＂.