我国对亚洲市场出口地理方向的优化路径——基于出口市场多元化对出口绩效影响的实证分析

Analysis of the Optimization Path of Exports to Asia from the Perspective of Geographical Factors——Based on the Correlation of Export Performance and Market Diversity

实施出口多元化战略20余年来,我国对亚洲出口市场多元化结构逐步形成,但布局尚处于严重不均衡状态,出口市场结构亟待优化。要保持我国对亚洲国家出口持续平稳增长,应从出口地理结构优化入手,调整出口布局,发掘对亚洲市场的出口潜力。一是积极探索贸易制度创新,逐步改变我国对香港特别行政区等出口高度集中的路径依赖,进一步扩大自由贸易试验区的范围,从制度上探索贸易均衡增长的途径;二是针对亚洲市场出口分量偏离度相对不足的印度、新加坡、土耳其等新兴市场展开深入调研,找准其进口需求,进而引导企业大力拓展对这些国家的出口,形成对亚洲出口新的增长点;三是将对亚洲出口市场结构的优化与商品结构的优化结合起来,使基于市场多元化建立起来的比较优势真正转化为竞争优势。

It has been more than 20 years since the implementation of export diversification;the diversified market structure has been formed in our exports to Asia;but the arrangement is still seriously imbalanced and the structure of this exporting market need to be optimized. To maintain the steady growth of our export to Asia,we should start from the geographical structural optimization,adjust the arrangement,and exploit more potential. First,we should try to make innovation in trade system, gradually break away from the path dependence on export to Hong Kong,further expand the coverage of free trade zone,and explore the way for balanced growth in trade;second,we should carry out investigation on such emerging countries as India, Singapore and Turkey,correctly identify their import requirement,and guide our enterprises to expand their export to these countries to form the new growth point of export to Asia;and third,we should combine the market structural optimization of export to Asia with commodity structural optimization,and transform the comparative advantages brought by market diversity to competitive advantages.