旅游城市交通客流预测季节气候敏感性分析

Tourist City Traffic flow Forecast Seasonal Climate Sensitivity Analysis

为了提高城市交通客流预测的准确性,充分考虑季节气候的影响,根据旅游城市的不同类型,分析季节气候对交通客流的交通产生和交通方式选择的影响,并确定其影响规律。结合调查数据中季节气候引起的变化量,说明季节气候对交通产生、吸引量、出行分布、出行方式划分的影响。

In order to improve the accuracy of the urban traffic flow prediction, fully considering the influence of seasonal climate, according to the different types of tourist city, to analyze the impact of seasonal weather on the traffic volume of traffic and transportation mode selection, and determine the influence law. Combined with the changes caused by seasonal climate in the survey data, it shows the influence of seasonal climate on travel generation, travel attract, travel distribution, traffic mode split.