泰国对南海争端的态度：表现、成因、趋势和影响

Thailand's Attitude towards the South China Sea Dispute

作为南海争端的"局外人",泰国反对南海问题复杂化和扩大化,反对南海问题影响中国—东盟整体关系的发展,希望争端各方能够和平解决争端。同时,自2012年开始接替越南成为中国—东盟关系协调国后,泰国在南海问题是否应该东盟化问题上开始"走钢丝"。泰国对南海争端的态度与其国家利益密不可分。总体来看,泰国对南海问题的态度有利于南海局势的和平与稳定,有利于争端国家之间危机管控能力的提升。但是,泰国追求东盟在南海问题上形成共同立场以与中国开展集团式谈判的态度和行为会加剧南海争端东盟化。展望未来,泰国对南海问题的态度将会在保持一定的延续性的基础上追求在中国与东盟之间的平衡。

As a non-claimant of the South China Sea,Thailand doesn＇t hope that the SCS dispute is more and more complicated for the sound development of China-ASEAN relations. Thailand hopes all claimants can resolve the dis-pute via peaceful negotiation. Meanwhile,being coordinator of China-ASEAN relations in 2012,Thailand＇s attitude towards the ASEANization of SCS began to walk a tightrope. Generally,Thailand＇s attitude towards SCS dispute re-sults from its pursue for national interests. Thailand＇s attitude towards SCS dispute is good for stabilization of the sit-uation of SCS,and is good for the promotion of crisis-control capacity of claimants of SCS. However,Thailand hopes that all member countries of ASEAN form a common position and carry out bloc negotiation may exacerbate the ASEANization of SCS. Looking to the future,Thailand＇s attitude towards SCS will maintain some extent of sta-bility and Thailand will seek balance between China and ASEAN.