基于灰色发展决策模型的林业产业结构分析与优化——以黑龙江大小兴安岭生态功能区为例

Analysis and optimization of forestry industrial structure based on grey development decision model: taking Greater-Lesser Khingan Ecological Function Area as an example

要解决黑龙江省大小兴安岭生态功能区生态保护与经济发展不平衡的矛盾，破除转型过程中出现的“两危”难题，就需要对大小兴安岭生态功能区林业产业结构要有清晰的把握和认识。本研究运用2009-2012年黑龙江省大小兴安岭林业产值数据，基于灰色发展决策模型，对林业三次产业及内部次级产业发展系数与预测值进行了测算，明确各产业所属类型。并依据研究结果及生态功能区实际状况，提出林业产业优化的对策建议。

To solve the contradiction between ecological protection and economic development imbalance of Greater-Lesser Khingan ecological function areas in Heilongjiang province, break“two crisis” problem appeared in the process of transformation, it is required to have a clear grasp and understanding of forestry industrial structure of Greater-Lesser Khingan ecological function areas. By using 2009-2012 forestry production data of Greater-Lesser Khingan ecological function areas of Heilongjiang province, and based on the grey development decision model, the development coefifcients and forecast values of three forestry industry and secondary industry were calculated, thus clearing the industry belongs to what types. And according to the study results and the actual situation of ecological function areas, the optimization countermeasures and suggestions of forestry industrial were put forward.