云南省生育率下降与经济增长的定量研究

A Quantitative Study of the Drop of Birthrate and Economic Growth in Yunnan

应用新经济增长理论的方法 ,在相应假设条件下 ,通过设立动态人口—经济运行模型 ,从人口作为消费者影响资本积累和作为劳动者影响生产两方面入手 ,借助人口增长的模拟 ,可以定量分析出云南省人口控制下生育率迅速下降对云南省经济增长和人民生活提高的贡献。

A quantitative analysis finds that the drop of birthrate in Yunnan has contributed greatly to the economic growth of the province. The analysis has applied the theory of the new economic growth. Under correspondent presuppositions, economic operation of dynamic population is set up. The analysis includes the influences of population as consumers on capital accumulation and the influences of population as producers on production. The analogous increase of population is also observed.