新疆专利产出与经济增长关系实证研究

Study on the Relationship of the Patent Output and Economic Growth in Xinjiang

对口援疆为新疆实施以科技为支撑的科学发展提供了有力契机,在此形势下文章运用协整、Granger因果检验、误差修正模型、脉冲响应分析、方差分解等方法考量了以专利产出指标为代表的技术进步与新疆经济增长之间的关系。实证结果表明:新疆经济增长促进了专利产出的增长,但是专利产出的增长没有促进新疆经济增长,两者之间没有形成互动的反馈机制。

It provides a powerful opportunity to leapfrog development which will be supported by the scienceand technology in Xinjiang under the new situation of National Counterpart Yuanjiang. According to the amount ofpatent application and GDP data of Xinjiang using co-integration, Granger causality test and vector error correctionmodel, the relationship between the two is empirically analyzed. The result shows that： there is a long- termstability of equilibrium between the patent output and economic growth in Xinjiang, and it is a one-way causalityfrom GDP to the patent output. It shows that economic growth promotes patent output growth, but patent outputgrowth does not promote economic growth in Xinjiang. It hasn＇t formed an interactive feedback mechanism.