中国和东盟贸易及产业比较优势研究

Trade among China and ASEAN Economies and the Revealed Comparative Advantage Index

中国出口对东盟出口的影响既存在互补效应,又存在替代效应。随着中国和东南亚区域合作的不断扩大和深化,中国对东盟出口的增加会促进东盟国家同行业的出口。然而,中国对其他国家出口的增加则会挤出东盟各国同行业的出口。近年来中国出口和经济增长速度放缓,这既给东盟各国带来了新的发展机遇,又使得中国和东盟的区域合作面临挑战。东盟国家可通过进一步的贸易自由化、增加R&D投资和培训更多的熟练工人来提高其出口和贸易的国际竞争力。

China＇s export has complementarity and substitution effects upon the export of ASEAN. With the gradually deepening and broadening of regional cooperation among China and Southeast Asia, an increase of the export from China to ASEAN will promote ASEAN＇s export in the same industry. However, China＇s increasing export to the rest of the world will crowd out ASEAN＇s export. Recently, China＇s export and growth are anemic, which presents both opportunities and challenges to ASEAN countries. ASEAN countries can improve their exports and trade competition through trade liberalization, increasing investment on R＆D, and hiring or training more skilled labor.