江西省经济增长与能源碳排放脱钩关系的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of Decoupling Relations between Economic Growth and Carbon Emissions from Energy

运用1995—2012年的统计数据,采用IPCC(2006)测算方法估计江西省能源碳排放总量,通过构建能源碳排放与经济增长的脱钩指数模型实证分析江西省能源碳排放与经济增长之间的脱钩关系。研究结果表明,江西省能源碳排放与经济增长存在不稳定的脱钩状态,强脱钩、弱脱钩、扩张负脱钩等状态交替出现,在此基础上,进一步分析江西能源碳排放与经济增长脱钩状态变化的原因并对江西发展低碳经济提出相应的建议。

This paper, which is based on 1995 -2012 statistical data, used the IPCC （20061 calculation method to esti- mate the total amount of carbon emissions in Jiangxi energy, and built carbon emissions energy and economic growth decou- piing index model, empirically analyzed the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economy growth, in Jian- gxi. The results showed that decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth in Jiangxi was instabili- ty, and decoupled state, strong decoupling, weak decoupling existed alternately. On this basis, the paper further analyzes the reasons for the decouple state changes of the carbon emissions and Jiangxi economic growth, and makes recommenda- tions to Jiangxi in order to develop low- carbon economy.