新疆能源资源生产结构调整分析——基于灰色关联理论

The Research of Energy Resources Production Structure Evolution and Adjustment in Xinjiang——Based on Grey Correlation Theory

新疆是我国能源资源最丰富的地区之一,能源生产结构演进从一定程度上折射出经济发展效率。分析新疆能源资源生产结构演进,综合能源资源物藏量、资源性质、政府能源政策导向、经济发展水平、进出口、能源产出水平与人均GDP的关联度,以及发展速度的关联度等主要影响因素,预测并分析新疆能源资源生产结构演进趋势,天然气产出与经济关联度小,其他传统和新兴能源与经济发展关联度较高。相应的结构调整应在煤炭与石油方面进行。

Xinjiang is one of the most abundant energy resources regions in china. Energy production structural evolution reflects the economic development efficiency from a certain extent. In the paper,comprehensive analysis main influence factors of energy resources reserves,resource properties,the government＇s energy policy guidance,economic development level,import and export,the correlation between energy output and per capita GDP and its development speed of correlation on the basis of energy resources production structure evolution,forecast development trend of energy resources in Xinxiang and analysis of the corresponding structure adjustment