“一带一路”框架下阿拉伯国家的粮食危机

The Food Crisis of Arab Countries in Perspective of " One Belt and One Road" Strategy

阿拉伯国家是"一带一路"战略的地缘枢纽,其社会稳定形势直接影响"一带一路"战略全局。粮价上涨导致的食品危机是推动阿拉伯国家社会动荡的重要因素。阿拉伯国家产业结构低度化与空心化是导致粮食危机的经济根源。阿拉伯国家的粮食安全形势非常严峻,对非产油国和海湾国家影响巨大。一方面经济不振削弱了阿拉伯国家的粮食进口能力,而人口爆炸、高贫困率导致巨大的粮食需求;另一方面发放巨额食品补贴进一步增大了阿拉伯国家的财政负担。本文分析了阿拉伯粮食危机的经济根源,以及农业危机和消费危机对阿拉伯国家粮食安全的影响,剖析了海湾国家粮食自给化的实践经验。

Arab countries are the geopolitical junction of ＂ One Belt and One Road＂ strategy, the situation of social stability will affect the ＂One Belt and One Road＂ Strategy. Food crisis caused by the rise of food price is one of the vital fac- tors which aroused the Arab countries＇ social unrest. Arab countries＇ low-level in- dustrial structure is the economic root of the food crisis. The Arab countries＇ food security situation has a huge impact on the non-oil-producing countries and Gulf Countries. On one hand, the sluggish economies weaken its capability of food im- ports, while the population explosion and the high poverty rates need a lot of food. On the other hand, providing a large sum of subsidies increases Arab countries＇ fi- nancial burden .This article analyses the economic roots of the Arabic food crisis, and the influence which the agricultural crisis and consumption crisis have on the Arab countries＇ food security. It will summarize the successful experience of Gulf States＇ food self-sufficiency.