基于效率测度的安徽省工业化、城镇化、农业现代化协调发展研究

A Study of Coordinated Development among Industrialization,Urbanization and Agricultural Modernization in Anhui Province Based on Efficiency Measurement

以安徽省16地市工业化、城镇化、农业现代化(简称"三化")发展效率作为研究的起点和基础,利用协调度模型对"三化"协调度进行测度。研究发现,安徽省工业化效率存在严重的地区不平衡;农业现代化效率普遍较低;绝大部分地市存在"三化"发展低效且不协调的情况。选择农业发展的视角,利用Ologit模型,对"三化"高效协调发展的影响因素进行探索。实证分析结果表明,农业现代化升级过程中以机械以及其他工业品投入为代表的农业机械化、农业工业化水平提升应该是"三化"高效协调发展的重要突破口。

Taking thedevelopment efficiency of 16 cities in Anhui Province in industrialization, urbanization and agricultural modernization （short for ＂Sanhua＂） as the starting point, the paper measures with a HR model the efficiency coordination index. The results reveal that there is a serious regional imbalance in industrial efficiency in the province; the efficiency of agricultural modernization is generally at a low level; and with respect to most of the cities studied, the development of Sanhua is in low efficiency and lack of coordination. Then, from modern agricultural perspective, an exploration of Sanhua coordination influencing factors is carried out via the Ologit model. Empirical results show that the improvement of agricultural mechanization and industrialization, embodied in the wide use of machinery and other industrial inputs, is an important entering point for the efficient and coordinated development of Sanhua.