新疆伊犁州直综合客运枢纽的布局规划

Comprehensive transportation hub layout planning of Yili

采用加权移动平均法、指数平滑法,结合国民经济发展情况综合利用弹性系数法,分析预测伊犁州直客运总量、公路客运量和分县市客运量.以预测出的客运量为基础,计算伊犁州直各市县的综合客运需求总量和适站量,并结合客运场站布局影响因素,针对市级、中心区级和片区级客运交通枢纽分别进行预测,布局规划伊犁州直客运场站.

Considering the long period of Yili comprehensive transportation hub layout planning,the paper uses the weighted moving average method,exponential smoothing method,combining with the development of national economy to predict the passenger volume with the elastic coefficient method. The Yili highway passenger quantity and passenger volume are divided into counties. Taking the passenger traffic volume forecast into consideration to calculate the total comprehensive passenger demand of the cities and counties of Yili state and the throughput,combining the influence factors of passenger station layout,according to the factors above,district and area,center group regimental level passenger traffic hub layout planning model are established to plan the passenger stations in Yili region.