丝绸之路经济带贸易竞争力实证分析

The Empirical Study on International Trade Competitiveness in the Silk Road Economic Belt

文章对丝绸之路经济带西北四省区,陕西、新疆、青海和甘肃的出口商品结构特征进行分析,并测算2003—2012年四省区的贸易竞争力指数和显性比较优势指数。研究发现:新疆、青海和甘肃三省区的出口商品仍以劳动密集型产品为主,陕西则从以劳动密集型为主转向资本技术密集型为主;四省区在资源密集型产品和劳动密集型产品方面具有比较优势,贸易竞争力较强;在资本技术密集型产品方面,新疆、青海和甘肃三省区处于比较劣势,贸易竞争力弱,陕西则出现由劣势转为优势的趋向,贸易竞争力较强。在发挥比较优势的基础上,应注重后发优势的培养,尽快缩小与先进国家或地区的差距。

The thesis analyzes export commodity structure and calculated TC and RCA of four provinces such as Shaanxi, Xinjiang, Qinghai and Gansu from 2003 to 2012. We found that Xinjiang, Qinghai and Gansu mainly export labor-intensive products, Shaanxi mainly exports labor-intensive products in early time, but mainly exports capital and technology-intensive products in later stage. It also found that four provinces have comparative advantage in resource-intensive and labor-intensive products and Xinjiang, Qinghai and Gansu have comparative disadvantage in capital and technology-intensive products, but Shaanxi upgrade its competitive advantage in the products in China. Based on the conclusion, we put forward the suggestions.