1Tanner, C F. Long Term Forecasting of Vehicle Owner- ship and Road Traffic [ J]. Journal of the Royal Statistical Soci- ety, 1978, (141A): 14-63.
2Carlson, R.L. and M M. Umble. Statistical Demand Functions for Automobiles and their Use for Forecasting in an En- ergy Crisis [J]. The Journal of business, 1980, (53): 193 - 204.
3Fowkes, A.S. and K.J. Button. An Evaluation of Car Ownership Forecasting Teeludques [ J]. International Journal of Tramport Economics, 1997, (4): 115-143.
4Romilly P, H. Song, and Liu X. Modelling and Fore-casting ear Ownership in Britain [ J ]. Transport Economics and Policy, 1998, (32): 165- 185.
5Chin, A. and P. Smith. Automobile Ownership and Government Policy: The Economics of Singapore's Vehicle Quota Scheme [J]. Transportation Research Part A, 1997, (31): 129 - 140.
6Abu- Eisheh, S.A. and F. Mannefing. Forecasting Automobile Demand for Economies in Transition: A Dynamic Si- multaneous - equation System Approeh [ J ]. Transportation Plan- ning and Technology, 2002, (25) : 311 - 331.
7蔡佳佳.机车持有预测模式之研究[D].台湾:台湾大学,2005.
8Ralph, G. Urban Mobility in the Developing World [J]. Transportation ResearehPart A, 1999, (33): 671-689.
