能源消费CO_2排放量的变化与控制分析

Study on increase and control of carbon dioxide emission from energy consumption

通过对世界能源消费所产生的二氧化碳 (CO2 )排放量的变化规律进行分析 ,根据实际数据建立其Logistic模型 ,然后对CO2 排放量未来发展趋势进行模拟 ,结果表明其在未来一段时间内随着能源使用的增加而继续增长 .根据环境保护的要求 ,引入了Logistic扩展模型 ,研究了排放量的控制 。

This paper analyzed the increasing law of carbon dioxide emission from world energy consumption. The result shows it accords with Logistic curve and embody the self-organization characteristic of energy carbon dioxide system. The increasing trend of carbon dioxide emission is simulated, which indicate it will be increasing in the future. In order to control carbon dioxide emission, the extended Logistic model is presented and the control of carbon dioxide emission is studied. The energy consumption structure should be changed is pointed out.