期刊文献+

集装箱船舶大型化与城市经济发展关系的系统仿真 被引量:1

System simulation on the relationship between the large container ships and the port city economic development
原文传递
导出
摘要 阐述集装箱船舶大型化的发展历程,分析其与城市经济发展的相关关系.运用系统动力学理论,分析集装箱船舶大型化与城市经济发展的因果关系,构建因果关系图和流图,建立系统仿真方程.以深圳市为例进行实证研究,得到系统仿真结果,并进行政策模拟.结果表明,港口城市适应集装箱船舶大型化的发展对其经济发展具有明显的促进作用;应用系统动力学方法研究集装箱船舶大型化与城市经济发展的关系是科学有效的. This paper elaborated the development history of the container ship maxmization and the relationship with the eco- nomic development of port city. The causal relationship be- tween the container ship size and the economic development- was analyzed by using the system dynamics theory with the causality diagram, the flow chart and the system simulation e- quations. Finally, based on the empirical research of Shenzhen city, system simulation and policy simulations were carried out. Results show that the increasing of container ship size can significantly promote its economic development of port cit- y. It is satisfactory to study the relation between the increasing of container ship size and the economic development of port city by using system dynamics method.
出处 《大连海事大学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2015年第1期61-68,76,共9页 Journal of Dalian Maritime University
基金 国家自然科学基金资助项目(61473053) 国家发改委地区司项目(2013-47-04)
关键词 集装箱船舶大型化 港口城市经济 系统仿真 系统动力学 container ship maxmization port city economy system simulation system dynamics
  • 相关文献

参考文献22

  • 1KUBY M, REID N. Technological change and the con- centration of the US general cargo port system: 1970 -88 [ J]. Economic Geography, 1992, 68 : 272 - 272.
  • 2McLELLAN R G. Bigger vessels: How big is too big7 [J]. Maritime Policy and Management, 1997, 24(2) : 193 - 211.
  • 3LIM S M. Economies of scale in container shipping [ J ]. Maritime Policy & Management, 1998, 25 (4) : 361 - 373.
  • 4BAIRD A J. Extending the lifecycle of container main- ports in upstream urban locations [ J ]. Maritime Policy & Management. 1997, 24:299 - 301.
  • 5CULLINANE K, KHANNA M. Economies of scale in large container ships: optimal size and geographical im- plications[J]. Journal of Transport Geography, 2000, 8 (3): 181-195.
  • 6PAYER H. Economic and technical aspects of mega-con- tainer carriers [ EB/OL ]. ( 2002-11-15 ) [ 2014-10- 21 ]. http://www, cepal, org/Transporte/perfil/iame_pa- pers/proceedings/AgendaProceedings, html.
  • 7HAM J C van. The feasibility of mega container vessels[ J ]. European Transport/Trasporti Europei, 2005 (25 - 26) : 89 - 98.
  • 8俞宣均,杨燮庆,张良,俞宝均.集装箱船大型化与国际集装箱枢纽港建设[J].集装箱化,1998(11):4-10. 被引量:1
  • 9安筱鹏,韩增林,杨荫凯.国际集装箱枢纽港的形成演化机理与发展模式研究[J].地理研究,2000,19(4):383-390. 被引量:40
  • 10庄骅.国际集装箱船舶大型化对世界集装箱港口发展的影响[J].交通部上海船舶运输科学研究所学报,2001,24(1):46-50. 被引量:4

二级参考文献76

共引文献91

同被引文献6

引证文献1

二级引证文献5

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部