中国社会经济综合发展水平时空格局演化及驱动因素

The Spatial and Temporal Evolution and Driving Factors of the Level of Comprehensive Economic and Social Development in China

以内地31个省级行政区为基本区域单元，选取26项代表社会经济综合发展水平的评价指标，利用熵值法对2001、2006、2011年我国社会经济综合发展水平进行评价与比较，并通过探索性空间数据分析方法分析了我国社会经济综合发展水平差异、时空格局演化及驱动机制。结果表明：我国社会经济综合发展水平得到显著提升，并整体呈现“东高西低”的特征；我国社会经济综合发展水平空间差异明显，空间集聚特征日益显著，并呈现出“中间低，两头高“的空间集聚特征。西部地区整体处于经济发展水平的冷点区域，而中部地区逐渐从次冷区域向次热区域转化，发展水平逐渐提升，东部沿海地带则主要处于经济发展的热点区；从经济地理、新经济地理、经济政策、制度等四个方面剖析了我国社会经济综合发展水平时空演变的驱动机制，认为政府干预程度、交通条件、地方保护、对外开放度和需求能力等因素影响着我国社会经济综合发展水平的演变。

This paper selects 26 evaluation indexs that stand for social and economic comprehensive development level with the 31 provincial-level administrative regions. This paper uses entropy method to evaluate and compare social and economic comprehensive development level in 2001,2006,2011 in China. On the other hand, the article analysis spatial and temporal evolution of social and economic comprehensive development level in China through exploratory spatial data methods. The results are shown as follows comprehensive level of social and economic development in China has been significantly improved. Social and economic comprehensive development level＇ s spatial difference is significant, and the feature of spatial agglomeration is increasingly significant, present a ＂middle low, two high＂. The western region is cold spots of economic development, while the central region transforms from subeooled region to second hot zone, the level of development is gradually increased. The eastern coastal area is mainly the economic development hotspots. Based on this, the paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions to promote China＇ s social and economic comprehensive development level. From economic geography, new economic geography, economic policy, system, we find that the driving mechanism of the evolution of social and economic comprehensive development level can attribute to many factors such as government intervention, traffic condition, local protectionism, opening degree and required capacity.