巴基斯坦反恐战略的调整

Pakistan Readjusting Its Anti-Terror Strategy

巴基斯坦总理谢里夫2013年5月上台至今,巴反恐战略已历三次调整,从与"巴基斯坦塔利班"(以下简称"巴塔")和谈到围剿北瓦济里斯坦部落区恐怖分子,再进一步全面深化打恐,实施综合治恐的方针。巴反恐战略的调整既是和谈战略失败、巴国内恐情失控的直接反应,也与巴军政间力量和地位的此消彼长,以及巴阿(富汗)关系改善等因素密不可分。巴反恐牵涉因素众多,反恐新政或难以持续推进,故巴仍将面临较大的暴恐挑战,并对地区和国际恐情产生较大影响。

Since Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif came to power in May 2013,Pakistani anti-terror strategy has experi-enced three phases of adjustment:( 1) holding peace negotiation with TTP;( 2) launching a large-scale military operation in the North Waziristan; and( 3) expanding the military operation and implemented a comprehensive national anti-terror strategy. The adjustment has been directly caused by the defeated peace talks and the deteriorating domestic situation. It is also closely related to the changing power status of the civil administration and military authorities,as well as the improved Pakistan-Afghanistan relations. As the anti-terror war involves many factors,it is hard for the Pakistani government to fully implement its new anti-terror strategy.