基于层次分析法的南汀河流域林业生产现状研究

Analytic Hierarchy Process to Evaluate Forestry Production Capacity of Nanting River Basin

南汀河是云南省临沧市最大的出境河流,中国境内南汀河流域的林业生产不仅关系到当地的发展,更影响着南汀河下游的缅甸人民的生产生活。文章在基于层次分析法和综合指数法的基础上,从林业生产指标、林业经济指标和生态环境指标3方面建立评价模型,并分别在南汀河流域和云南省2个水平上进行评价,评价结果表明南汀河流域林业生产现状均为中等。进一步对南汀河流域产业结构进行分析后发现,南汀河流域内第二、第三产业所占比重较小,产业配置有待调整。

The Nanting river is the biggest river of Lingcang City, Yunnan Province flowing across the southeastern China. Forestry produc- tion of Nanfing river basin within China not only plays an important role in local development but also influences the lower reaches farmers production and living in Myanmar. The model was built with analytic hierarchy process （AHP） synthetic index method from 3 different as- pects that were forestry production index, economic indicators and eco-environment indicators. The Forestry production capacity of Nsnting river basin has been evaluated with this model based on the basin area level and the Yunnan Province level. The results showed that, the for- estry production capacity was medium both at basin area level and province level. Further analysis of the Nanting river basin industrial struc- ture showed that, the proportions of secondary industry and tertiary industry of Nanting river basin were small, so the industrial configuration will need to be regulatedd.