2015/16年度世界和中国棉花展望

World and China's Cotton Outlook for 2015/16

2015/16年度中国棉花生产景气指数（CCPPI）回落至180～190点,即2015年棉花产业仍延续2014年消费呈弱势＂恢复性＂增长和生产呈强势＂缩减性＂的分化态势。受全球经济复苏乏力、巨大库存、石油价格下降、化纤替代增长、原棉消费减少以及中国进口减少影响,全球棉价下行压力增大,美国、中国、印度等产棉大国的棉花生产都呈收缩态势。中国主产棉区的新疆提出调减次适宜、不适宜棉田面积正是中国棉花产业转型升级的支撑点之一。

The China Cotton Production Prosperity Index（CCPPI） in 2015/16 will fall to 180～190,which means differentiation trend of cotton industry in 2014 will still continue in 2015, with restorative growth in weak consumption and intensive diminish in production. Pressure of global cotton price downward increased because of the weak recovery of global economy, huge cotton inventory, declining oil price, the growth of chemical fiber insteading of cotton and reducing cotton consumption and cotton import of China.Cotton production in the United States, China, India and other main cotton producing countries is shrinking.Xinjiang cotton area, the largest cotton producing area in China, has put forward that it is one of the support points for transformation and upgrading of cotton industry in China to reduce less suitable and unsuitable cotton area.