浙江省服务贸易增长影响机理及实证研究

利用1996—2013年浙江省服务贸易相关数据,建立服务贸易与货物贸易额、外商直接投资、服务贸易开放度、汇率、第三产业产值之间的计量经济模型,分析浙江省服务贸易发展与影响因素之间的经济关系。实证结果表明,服务贸易开放度对浙江省服务贸易发展具有显著的正向促进作用;第三产业产值对服务贸易发展具有积极的促进作用;汇率变动对服务贸易增长具有一定的正向促进作用;货物贸易和外商直接投资对服务贸易增长具有正向促进作用。

This article applied the related data of trade in services of Zhejiang Province in 1996 -2013, setting up econometric models about service trade growth and goods trade, foreign direct investment, service trade openness, the exchange rate, the tertiary industry output value, analyzing Zhejiang Province＇ service trade development and economic relations between the influ- encing factors. The empirical results show that service trade openness has significant positive development of service trade in Zhejiang province; the tertiary industry output value has a positive role in promoting development of service trade in Zhejiang province ; the change of exchange rate influence on the growth of service trade in zhejiang province has a certain positive role in promoting; but the development of trade in goods and foreign direct investment to test the value of trade in services growth does not meet the test requirements.