小额多频农产品投资方式的贝叶斯决策分析

Bayesian Analysis of Small Multi Frequency Investment of Agricultural Products

运用贝叶斯方法分析了农产品小额多频投资方式的风险决策问题。该方法合理利用新的市场信息,分析后验风险并量化决策风险,为农产品企业投资中的风险性决策问题提供参考,有助于提高项目的收益。

The risk decision of small multi frequency investment mode of agricultural products was studied based on bayes method. This method can take advantage of new market information reasonably,analyze the posterior risk and quantify the decision risk. It provides a scientific way for the risk decision of agricultural enterprises and is advantageous to enhance the benefit of project.