摘要
AIM: To identify the risk factors for organ failure(OF) in cholangitis with bacteriobilia.METHODS: This study included 182 patients with acute cholangitis who underwent percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage between January 2005 and April 2013. We conducted a retrospective analysis of comprehensive clinical and laboratory data.RESULTS: There were 24 cases(13.2%) of OF and five deaths(2.7%). Bile culture was positive for microbial growth in 130 out of 138(94.2%) patients. In multivariate analysis of 130 patients with positivebile cultures, significant predictive factors for OF were the presence of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase(ESBL) organisms in blood cultures, pre-existing renal dysfunction, and choledocholithiasis as an etiology, with odds ratios of 15.376, 6.319, and 3.573, respectively. We developed a scoring system with a regression coefficient of each significant variable. The OF score was calculated using the following equation:(2.7 × ESBL organisms in blood cultures) +(1.8 × pre-existing renal dysfunction) +(1.3 × choledocholithiasis). This scoring system for predicting OF was highly specific(99.1%) and had a positive predictive value of 86.2%.CONCLUSION: ESBL organisms in blood cultures, preexisting renal dysfunction, and choledocholithiasis are risk factors for OF in cholangitis with bacteriobilia. The OF scoring system may aid clinicians to identify a poor prognosis group.
AIM: To identify the risk factors for organ failure(OF) in cholangitis with bacteriobilia.METHODS: This study included 182 patients with acute cholangitis who underwent percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage between January 2005 and April 2013. We conducted a retrospective analysis of comprehensive clinical and laboratory data.RESULTS: There were 24 cases(13.2%) of OF and five deaths(2.7%). Bile culture was positive for microbial growth in 130 out of 138(94.2%) patients. In multivariate analysis of 130 patients with positivebile cultures, significant predictive factors for OF were the presence of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase(ESBL) organisms in blood cultures, pre-existing renal dysfunction, and choledocholithiasis as an etiology, with odds ratios of 15.376, 6.319, and 3.573, respectively. We developed a scoring system with a regression coefficient of each significant variable. The OF score was calculated using the following equation:(2.7 × ESBL organisms in blood cultures) +(1.8 × pre-existing renal dysfunction) +(1.3 × choledocholithiasis). This scoring system for predicting OF was highly specific(99.1%) and had a positive predictive value of 86.2%.CONCLUSION: ESBL organisms in blood cultures, preexisting renal dysfunction, and choledocholithiasis are risk factors for OF in cholangitis with bacteriobilia. The OF scoring system may aid clinicians to identify a poor prognosis group.
