基于解释结构模型的地铁脆弱性因素研究

Research on the Subway vulnerability Factors Based on Interpretative Structural Modeling Method

地铁的脆弱性是客观存在的,它会随着时间、空间的变化而变化。正确的分析和评价地铁车站的脆弱性对地铁车站的设计规划,日常管理乃至应急管理都有重要的意义。本文通过运用解释结构模型分析法,分析地铁近几年运营事故,运用安全科学轨迹交叉理论确定事故发生的因素,并通过实地考察与专家合作,利用矩阵分析法确立个因素之间相互关系,最后用ISM法得出脆弱性因素模型,为地铁的安全运营提供参考价值。

The vulnerability of the subway is an objective reality, it will changes with time and space. It has important significance to daily and emergency management that The vulnerability of the subway station is properly analyzed and evaluated. Based on interpretative structural modeling analysis, operational analysis subway accidents in recent years, the use of cross-track safety science theory to identify factors of the accident, through field visits and experts to establish the relationship between factors using matrix analysis, and finally get a vulnerability factor model, provide reference value for the safe operation of the subway.