金融支持现代物流发展的联动关系研究——以丝绸之路经济带核心区建设为例的实证分析

Study on Linkage Relationship between Financial Support and Logistics Development: In the Case of Core Area Construction in Silk Road Economic Belt

通过构建金融业和物流业的向量自回归模型探讨两大产业之间的内在关系,利用新疆1978年到2013年的时间序列数据进行实证研究,发现新疆金融业和物流业存在长期单向因果关系,物流业对金融业的促进作用显著,金融业对物流业发展的贡献程度较低,新疆物流业和金融业没有形成良性的协调发展关系。最后根据实证分析结果,结合丝绸之路经济带核心区建设的背景提出对策建议。

In this paper, we discussed the internal relationship between the financial industry and the logistics industry by building the vector autoregression model. According to the time series data from 1978 to 2013 in Xinjiang, we found there was a one-way causal relationship between those two industries for a long time, namely, the logistics industry had a significant positive effect on the financial industry while the latter had little positive effect on the former. In the end, we put forward countermeasures in view of the findings.