基于SW模型测度的区域科技创新景气指数构建研究——以深圳南山区科技创新统计改革后的季度数据为例

Research on Regional Technology Innovation Climate Index Based on SW Index Method

目前对区域科技创新状态的测度主要是基于创新能力和创新绩效,测度的周期以年度数据为主,由此构建的科技创新指数缺乏动态性与时效性,而且指标之间缺乏时序性。基于创新周期理论,从景气状态的视角出发,以经过科技创新统计指标改革后的深圳市南山区的季度周期数据为基础,应用SW模型构建了一套反映区域科技创新状态的景气指数。研究表明,应用SW模型构造的区域科技创新景气指数具有动态、时效地反映不同区域科技创新景气状态的功能。

Currently,the measure on the state of regional technological innovation is mainly based on the ability and performance of innovation,using annual data. These index indicators are lack of timing with the problem of dynamic timeliness. This paper builds the scientific and technological innovation climate index with SW model based on innovation cycle theory from the perspective of the state of the economy. These index are based on the quarterly data of Shenzhen Nanshan district after the reform of science and technology statistical indicators. Results have shown that technological innovation climate index based on SW model can reflect technological innovation status timely and dynamically.