南方集体林区林业产业结构变化规律及其驱动机制研究

Forestry Industry Structure Variation and Driving Mechanism in the Southern Collective Forest Region of China

调查收集了2000~2012年南方集体林区林业产业结构相关数据,采用库兹涅茨经验法则从林业产业产值比重、劳动力比重、比较劳动生产率三方面分析南方集体林区林业产业结构变化规律,研究结果显示：林业第三产业产值比重逐年上升但增长趋势缓慢。运用主成分分析法,对南方集体林区林业产业结构变化的驱动因子进行分析,实证结果表明,南方集体林区林业产业结构驱动因子主要有：自然资源、经济发展、生态建设和产业政策。依据分析结果,对促进南方集体林区林业产业结构优化发展提出相应的对策建议。

The study analyzed the variation of forestry industry structure from 2000 to 2012 in the Southern Collective Forest Zone （SCFZ） on the three aspects of the forest industry, the proportion of the labors and the comparison of the labor productivity with the Kuznets empirical rule. The results indicated that the output value proportion from the tertiary industry was increasing by year, but the growth trend was slow. Meanwhile the text analyzed the driving factors of the forest industry structure in SCFZ using principal component analysis. Empirically, the drive factors of the forest industry structure in SCFZ are as follow： the main natural resources, economic development, ecological construction and industrial policies. Based on above all, some countermeasures were proposed on promoting structure optimization of forest industry in SCFZ.