摘要
文章致力于研究中国人口老龄化对居民储蓄和投资资本的长远影响。在理论分析和建模的基础上,基于中国省际面板数据的实证结果表明,1983～2013年,人口抚养比的下降和人口预期寿命的上升对居民储蓄率具有显著的正面影响,贡献率分别达到20.82%和31.72%。研究还表明：就业率的上升也能明显增加居民储蓄率,政府支出和通货膨胀率对居民储蓄的影响没有通过显著性检验。
The paper focuses on the long-term influence of Chinese Aging to household saving and investment capital.On base of theoretical analysis,model construction and practical result from panel data of Chinese provinces,the paper made a conclusion that during the period of 1983~2013,the decline of population dependency ratio and the ascent of life expectancy have made positive influence on household saving rate,contribution rate has reached 20.82% and 31.72%.The research shows that the ascent of employment rate push household saving rate up obviously,but governmental expenditure and inflation rate fail.
出处
《新疆社会科学》
CSSCI
2015年第4期21-26,163,共6页
Social Sciences in Xinjiang
关键词
人口抚养比
人口预期寿命
居民储蓄
投资资本
Population dependency ratio
Life expectancy
Household saving
Investment capital
