基于复制动态进化博弈的旅游资源可持续利用研究

Study on Sustainable Use of Tourism Resource Based on Replicator Dynamics

旅游资源是一种特殊的公共池塘资源,其开发利用具有非排他性和竞争性。基于进化博弈理论视角,构建资源动态模型和复制者动态模型,描述了资源动态和群体动态的均衡状态,分析了资源存量和群体构成同时演化时形成的复合系统动态的均衡点及其影响因素,探讨旅游资源作为一种特殊的公共池塘资源如何实现可持续利用。研果表明:1资源动态对确定均衡结果起着重要作用;2存在异质稳定均衡,即合作者和不合作者同时存在,从而使旅游资源作为公共池塘资源实现可持续开发成为可能;3社会获益、市场条件、市场价格、资源增长率、技术和利益主体的数量等是影响稳定均衡的重要因素。

Tourism resource was a kind of special common pool resource, which was non - exclusive and competitive. This paper built the re- source dynamics model and replicator dynamics model to describe the equilibrium state of resource dynamics and population dynamics and analyzed the equilibrium points of the combined system, and traced how tourism resource could be used sustainably under common pool resource. The results showed that ： （1） Resource dynamics played an important role in determining equilibrium outcomes. （2）There existed a stable equilibrium with a hetero- geneous in which both cooperators and non- cooperators coexist. （3）Social profit, market condition, market price, tourism resource growth rate, harvest- ing technology and stakeholder size were the important factors affecting the stable equilibrium.