基于DEMATEL方法的水资源承载力影响因素分析

Analysis of Influencing Factors on the Water Resource Carrying Capacity Based on DEMATEL Method

科学识别水资源承载力的影响因素,并分析各因素之间的关系,对促进科学合理的评价水资源承载力具有重要意义。通过归纳总结筛选出15个影响水资源承载力的影响因素,应用DEMATEL方法对15个影响因素进行分析评价。结果表明:保护现有水资源的数量,并不断提升水资源质量,能够促进社会安定;与此同时,改变工业生产方式,降低工业耗水量,进而提高水资源使用效率,水资源承载力才能提高。

It is significant to evaluate the water resource carrying capacity scientifically based on the scientific recognition of water resources carrying capacity and the relationship among the factors. The interrelationships among fifteen influencing factors of water resources carrying capacity by summarizing were analyzed using the DEMATEL method. The researching results show that it can promote social stability by protecting the amount of the existing water resources and improving the quality of water resources; At the same time, water resources carrying capacity can be improved by changing the way of industrial production, reducing industrial water consumption and increasing the efficiency of water use.