移动平均法在青少年吸毒分析中的应用

The Application of Moving Average in the Analysis of Youth Drug Abuse

移动平均法是一种时间序列预测法,它是能从时间序列数据中去掉周期变动或随机波动的影响,从而进行数据分析的方法。借助移动平均线性预测模型,对2004—2013年某地区21岁以下(不含21岁)青少年吸毒原因的一些数据进行分析和预测,并结合相关结果,给出合理化禁毒建议。

The Moving Average, one of the Time Series Forecasting Methods,can analyze data by removing the impact of cyclical variation and random fluctuation from time series data. The essay relies on a linear prediction model and analysis data of reason of youth drug abuse, which is under 21 （not in- cluding 21） years old local youth in 2004--2013. At last, some reasonable suggestions are put forward for drug control efforts.