口岸输入性呼吸道传染病风险评估方法研究

Methodology of risk assessment for the respiratory infectious disease imported from ports

目的探索建立口岸输入性呼吸道传染病风险评估指标体系和口岸输入性呼吸道传染病风险评估方法,为口岸输入性呼吸道传染病的防控提供科学依据。方法采用经验判断、Delphi专家咨询等方法,确定影响口岸输入性呼吸道传染病风险水平的因素,并应用风险矩阵的分析方法,评估口岸输入性呼吸道传染病风险水平。结果建立了对口岸输入性呼吸道传染病风险发生的可能性、风险发生的后果的严重程度的影响因素的指标体系,建立了口岸输入性呼吸道传染病风险水平评估的具体方法。结论口岸输入性呼吸道传染病指标体系和风险评估方法的建立,为口岸输入性呼吸道传染病风险管理打下了科学基础,为口岸传染病防控提供了科学依据。

Objective This paper tries to establish the index system and the risk assessment methods of evaluating the risk of respiratory infectious disease imported from ports, so as to provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of the imported respiratory infectious disease. Methods The methods of judgment by experience, Delexpert consultation are used to determine the factors affecting the risk level of the imported respiratory infectious disease. The analysis method of risk matrix assessment is used to evaluate the risk level of imported respiratory inted respiratory infectious diseases are established and the specific risk level evaluation methods are found. Conclusion The establishment of the index system and the risk assessment method of the respiratory infectious disease imported from ports, set up scientific foundation for the risk management of the imported respiratory infectious disease, and provided a scientific basis for the prevention and control of the infectious disease at ports.