新型城镇化、地方财政能力与公共服务供给

New Urbanization,Local Government Fiscal Capacity and Public Service Supply

利用中国2000—2012年的省级面板数据,实证研究新型城镇化、地方财政能力对公共服务供给的直接影响效应,并进一步分析二者对公共服务供给的门槛效应。研究结果表明:新型城镇化对公共服务供给具有显著的促进作用,地方财政能力越强对提升公共服务供给水平的作用越明显。同时,随着经济发展水平的不断提高,新型城镇化对公共交通基础设施供给的影响逐渐减弱,对公共基础教育和医疗卫生供给的影响逐渐增强;财政支配能力对公共交通基础设施和医疗卫生供给具有倒"U"型的影响过程,对公共基础教育的负向影响逐渐减弱;财政汲取能力对公共交通基础设施的投资倾向逐渐减弱,对公共基础教育具有正向促进作用,对公共医疗卫生的积极作用逐渐显现。

This paper empirically studied the effects of new urbanization and local government fiscal capacity on public service supply. The results show that new urbanization has a significant effect on public service supply. The stronger local fiscal capacity is,the more obviously is enhanced the level of public service supply. Meanw hile,the further analysis of the threshold effect of public service supply reveals the following findings. The effect of urbanization on transportation infrastructure service has weakened gradually,and the effect on education and health services is increased gradually with the development of economy. The effect of fiscal domination capacity on transportation infrastructure and health services show s an inverted U-shape feature,and has a decreasing hinder effect on basic education service. Fiscal extractive capacity has gradually a weakening effect on transportation infrastructure investment and a positive effect on basic education service,and its positive effect on health services will gradually appear.