“京津冀”区域经济关联与经济发展的空间溢出效应

Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Regional Economic Association and Spatial Spillover Effects of Economic Development

"京津冀"作为继"珠三角"、"长三角"之后的中国经济又一增长极,研究其经济关联同经济发展空间溢出效应对于中国经济具有重要的意义。本文通过运用空间理论和计量方法分析"京津冀"经济关联程度及演变并与"珠三角"、"长三角"进行比较分析,同时运用改造后的C-D生产函数结合空间滞后模型,加入表征区域经济关联的市场潜能这一新经济地理变量,揭示关联性对"京津冀"一体化影响程度。研究表明市场潜能每提高1%,人均生产总值提高0.34%。同时应将资本更多地转向跨区域基础设施建设,加强顶层设计。

Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region is a new China’s economic growth pole after Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta.and the study of its economic association and the Spatial spillovers effects of economic development has great practical and theoretical significance for China’s economy.This paper analyzes the e-conomic association degree and evolution process of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region by the theory of Spatial E-conomics and its metering method,and compares Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region with Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta.Through transformed C-D production function combined with the spatial lag model and adding a new economic geography variables-market potential of economic association in representative area, the paper reveals the relations’influence of economic integration in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region.This study shows that as market potential increases by 1%,gross domestic product per capita will increase by 0. 34 %.Meanwhile.we should shift capital investment to the cross-region infrastructure construction,and strengthen the design of high level.