辽宁省GDP与能源消耗关系的实证分析

Empirical analysis on relationship between GDP and energy consumption in Liaoning Province

作为世界第二大能源消费国,中国的经济发展离不开能源的消耗。辽宁省是工业大省,其经济增长对能源消耗的依赖程度日益加剧,然而这并不利于经济的可持续发展。对1990—2013年辽宁省GDP和能源消费的统计数据进行相关性分析,发现辽宁省的能源生产出现严重供不应求的局面,其能源消费增长过快同能源供给不足的矛盾日益加剧,GDP同能源消费总量互为正相关的线性关系。指出辽宁省需要通过调整产业结构来降低能源消耗相对水平,提高能源利用效率。

As the world＇s second largest energy consumer,the economic development of China can not be separated from energy consumption. Liaoning Province is one of the industrial provinces,the dependency level of its economic growth on energy consumption is growing,but it is not conducive to sustainable development of economy. The correlation analysis is carried out of statistical data of GDP and energy consumption from 1990 to 2013 in Liaoning Province. It is found that the energy production in Liaoning Province is in short supply,the contradiction between the energy consumption and the shortage of energy supply is increasing. The GDP and the total energy consumption have a relationship of positive linear correlation. It is proposed that the relative level of energy consumption should be reduced,and the energy efficiency should be improved through the adjustment of industrial structure in Liaoning Province.